JAC Delhi 2026  •  NSUT Cutoff Analysis  •  Updated 9 July 2026

NSUT Round 4 Expected Cutoff — built from official Round 1, 2 & 3 data

We tracked all 18 B.Tech branches plus B.Arch across the first three JAC Delhi rounds (15 June → 1 July → 7 July) and projected Round 4 closing ranks using a trend-decay model. Ranks are JEE (Main) 2026 Common Rank List (CRL) closing cutoffs (B.Arch uses Paper-2 rank). Main, East and West campus branches are all covered.

19 branches analysed (incl. B.Arch)
Main · East · West campus
10 categories covered
Source: Official NSUT R1–R3 cutoff sheets
Top branches locking (Delhi)
CSAI +112
General-Delhi CSAI moved just 7,791 → 7,903 in Round 3, and CSE only +462. Round 4 shift will be minimal for the top trio.
Still moving fast (Delhi GN)
GI +5,923
West-campus branches saw the biggest Round-3 jumps — Geoinformatics +5,923, Bio-Tech +5,211, Civil +4,327. Expect the largest Round-4 relaxation here.
EWS Delhi
9/19 frozen
Nine branches closed at the exact same EWS rank in Rounds 2 and 3 (IT even held 35,635 across all three rounds) — that quota is nearly saturated.
Outside Delhi
50% seats
NSUT splits seats 50:50, so Outside-Delhi cutoffs stay much tighter (GN CSE 6,289 vs Delhi 12,537 in R3) — but they kept sliding, so R4 upgrades are still possible.
Round 4 Predictor

Branch-wise expected closing ranks

Ranks shown are JEE (Main) 2026 CRL closing cutoffs (B.Arch: JEE Paper-2 rank). R4 (Expected) is our model's central estimate; the small range below it is the safe band you should plan with. East (*) and West (**) campus branches are tagged.

Region
Category
— means seat not offered / cutoff not published in that round
Branch Round 1
(15 Jun)
Round 2
(1 Jul)
Round 3
(7 Jul)
Trend Round 4
(Expected)
Confidence
Important: Round 4 depends on withdrawals, Freeze/Float choices and seat-matrix updates, so actual cutoffs can land anywhere inside — and occasionally outside — the shown range. ST and girls-quota cells often have 1–2 seats and can swing wildly. If your rank is within the expected value, your chance is strong; inside the upper range, treat it as a realistic hope, not a guarantee. Always verify with the official JAC Delhi / NSUT release.
How we predicted

Methodology — trend-decay model

4-step process (applied to every branch × category × region)

  1. Measure the shifts: Δ₁ = R2 − R1 and Δ₂ = R3 − R2. Example, Delhi General CSE: Δ₁ = +3,535 but Δ₂ = only +462.
  2. Compute the decay factor (Δ₂ ÷ Δ₁). A small factor means seats are filling and movement is dying out; near 1 means the branch is still sliding freely.
  3. Project Round 4: R4 = R3 + (Δ₂ × decay), with the factor clamped between 0.30 and 0.85 so one odd round can't distort the estimate.
  4. Build the safe range around the estimate and grade confidence by how consistent the three-round pattern was (frozen, smooth, or erratic).

Reading the confidence badge

High  Smooth R1→R2→R3 pattern; estimate is tight.

Stable  Cutoff unchanged in the last round(s) — Round 4 should stay at (or a whisker above) R3.

Medium  Movement pattern is uneven; trust the range more than the single number.

Low  Erratic or missing data (single-seat quotas) — treat R3 as the only reliable anchor.

Campus tags: Main Dwarka main campus · East East campus (Geeta Colony) · West West campus (Jaffarpur).

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Data source: Official NSUT category-cutoff sheets, Rounds 1–3 (B.Tech & B.Arch 2026-27). Predictions are estimates, not official figures.